Sport Picks

Stadium Background

QPR U23 vs Middlesbrough U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kavanagh C.
15' Event
Fletcher I.
23' Event
Fletcher I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Middlesbrough U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
QPR U23
35%
Draws
25%
Middlesbrough U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: QPR U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U23 have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — QPR U23 are scoring more at 1.58.
  • Model gives QPR U23 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Middlesbrough U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
QPR U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Middlesbrough U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR U23 Middlesbrough U23
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.58 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2022 Premier League Cup
QPR U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
0:5
Sep 6, 2021 Premier League Cup
Middlesbrough U23 vs QPR U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Middlesbrough U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fletcher I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kavanagh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR U23 47 / 100
Middlesbrough U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR U23 Middlesbrough U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U23 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

QPR U23 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: QPR U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

QPR U23 VS Middlesbrough U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR U23

(Home)
30 Jul
Leighton Town
1 : 2
QPR U23
15 Jul
Siofok
2 : 0
QPR U23
03 May
QPR U23
3 : 2
Wigan U23
26 Apr
Watford U23
1 : 1
QPR U23
22 Apr
Sheffield Wed U23
0 : 0
QPR U23
Page 1 of 7

Middlesbrough U23

(Away)
20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)