Sport Picks

Stadium Background

QPR vs Bolton

England England

Championship Loftus Road, London
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

QPR host Bolton in the Championship. This one's hard to separate. QPR have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Bolton's 1.79 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, QPR have won 2 to Bolton's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2019, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.25) point toward Bolton. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
QPR
20%
Draws
32%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: QPR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolton have won more games recently than QPR.
  • Model gives QPR a 48% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
QPR Clean Sheet 19%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Bolton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Championship
QPR vs Bolton
1:2
Sep 15, 2018 Championship
Bolton vs QPR
1:2
Feb 17, 2018 Championship
QPR vs Bolton
2:0
Oct 21, 2017 Championship
Bolton vs QPR
1:1
Feb 20, 2016 Championship
Bolton vs QPR
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 85 / 100
Bolton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bolton has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: QPR stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Bolton
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2
Millwall
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
31 Jul
Bromley
0 : 7
QPR
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2
Fiorentina
21 Jul
QPR
1 : 0
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

Bolton

(Away)
08 Aug
Sheffield Wed
1 : 0
Bolton
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0
NAC Breda
28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Bolton
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0
Everton
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Blackburn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bolton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Derby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Middlesbrough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Portsmouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 West Ham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bristol City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Burnley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Cardiff 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Charlton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Norwich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Preston 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 QPR 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Sheffield Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Stoke City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Watford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 West Brom 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Wolves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Millwall 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Swansea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Lincoln City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Wrexham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Southampton 0 0 0 0 0:0 -4
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