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QPR vs Bolton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Loftus Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Gale T.
46'
Sub
Famewo A. In: Davies B.
Out: Famewo A.
59'
Sub
Gale T. In: Iling Junior S.
Out: Gale T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
QPR
20%
Draws
40%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • QPR have won more games recently than Bolton.
  • Model gives QPR a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
QPR Clean Sheet 14%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Bolton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Bolton
0:0
Mar 30, 2019 Championship
QPR vs Bolton
1:2
Sep 15, 2018 Championship
Bolton vs QPR
1:2
Feb 17, 2018 Championship
QPR vs Bolton
2:0
Oct 21, 2017 Championship
Bolton vs QPR
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 57 / 100
Bolton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bolton has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: QPR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Bolton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
03 Nov
QPR
1 : 1
Burnley
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1
QPR
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0
Swansea
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0
QPR
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1
Derby
Page 1 of 6

Bolton

(Away)
03 Nov
Charlton
0 : 1
Bolton
31 Oct
Bolton
2 : 3
Bristol City
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5
Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0
Bolton
13 Oct
Wolves
1 : 3
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)