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QPR vs Burnley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Loftus Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Laurent J.
38' Event
Ramazani L.
Assist: Vardy J.
50'
Varane J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
QPR
35%
Draws
19%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: QPR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to QPR lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
  • Win probability leans QPR's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
QPR Clean Sheet 16%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Burnley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Burnley
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Burnley
0:5
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Burnley vs QPR
0:0
Apr 22, 2023 Championship
Burnley vs QPR
1:2
Dec 11, 2022 Championship
QPR vs Burnley
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR Compare

Top Goalscorer Varane J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramazani L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 75 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

QPR scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: QPR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Burnley
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
03 Nov
QPR
1 : 1
Burnley
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1
QPR
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0
Swansea
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0
QPR
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1
Derby
Page 1 of 6

Burnley

(Away)
03 Nov
QPR
1 : 1
Burnley
31 Oct
Burnley
0 : 0
Portsmouth
24 Oct
Lincoln City
4 : 1
Burnley
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2
Wolves
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)