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QPR vs Cardiff - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Loftus Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Burrell R.
46'
Sub
Ashford C. In: Willock C.
Out: Ashford C.
46'
Sub
Scanlon C. In: Bielik K.
Out: Scanlon C.

AI Match Summary

QPR in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored QPR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
QPR
30%
Draws
37%
Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardiff

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • QPR have won more games recently than Cardiff.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on QPR taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
QPR Clean Sheet 15%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Cardiff
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.79 2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Cardiff
2:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
QPR vs Cardiff
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Cardiff
0:0
Nov 27, 2024 Championship
Cardiff vs QPR
0:2
Jan 1, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Cardiff
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR Compare

Top Goalscorer Burrell R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Ng P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 41 / 100
Cardiff 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

QPR found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

QPR went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Cardiff
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
03 Nov
QPR
1 : 1
Burnley
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1
QPR
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0
Swansea
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0
QPR
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1
Derby
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff

(Away)
04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3
West Ham
31 Oct
Wolves
3 : 0
Cardiff
24 Oct
Cardiff
1 : 0
Birmingham
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Cardiff
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1
Watford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)