Sport Picks

Stadium Background

QPR vs Middlesbrough

England England

Championship Loftus Road, London
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

QPR host Middlesbrough in the Championship. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: QPR at 1.57 goals for, 1.5 against; Middlesbrough at 1.44 for, 1.19 against. Past meetings favor Middlesbrough slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.44) point toward Middlesbrough. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
QPR
20%
Draws
40%
Middlesbrough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • QPR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • QPR are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Middlesbrough have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
QPR Clean Sheet 16%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Middlesbrough
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Middlesbrough
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs QPR
3:1
Mar 11, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs QPR
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Middlesbrough
1:4
Mar 9, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Middlesbrough
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 36 / 100
Middlesbrough 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Middlesbrough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

QPR found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Middlesbrough conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: QPR stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Middlesbrough
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
22 Aug
QPR
0 : 0
Bolton
15 Aug
Portsmouth
1 : 3
QPR
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2
Millwall
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
31 Jul
Bromley
0 : 7
QPR
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough

(Away)
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3
Middlesbrough
22 Aug
Blackburn
2 : 1
Middlesbrough
15 Aug
Middlesbrough
2 : 1
Lincoln City
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0
Wrexham
01 Aug
Middlesbrough
3 : 3
Espanyol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millwall 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 West Brom 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Charlton 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
5 Wolves 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
6 QPR 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
7 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
8 Watford 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
9 Bolton 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
10 Swansea 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
11 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
12 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
13 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
14 Sheffield Utd 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
15 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
16 Derby 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
17 West Ham 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
18 Burnley 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
19 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
20 Preston 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
21 Stoke City 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
22 Lincoln City 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
23 Norwich 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
24 Southampton 2 1 0 1 4:3 -1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)