Sport Picks
QPR vs Middlesbrough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Loftus Road, London 
Match Events
14'
14'
Sub
Chair I. In: Saito K.
Out: Chair I.
20'
20'
Lankshear W.
Assist: Brittain C.
39'
39'
Sub
Kone R. In: Burrell R.
Out: Kone R.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between QPR and Middlesbrough finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Middlesbrough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Middlesbrough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Middlesbrough's 1.86 goals per match outpaces what QPR have produced (1.82).
- Middlesbrough are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Middlesbrough have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
QPR Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | QPR | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Middlesbrough
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Middlesbrough
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs QPR
3:1
Mar 11, 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough vs QPR
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Middlesbrough
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
QPR Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Middlesbrough Compare
Top Goalscorer Lankshear W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
QPR 22 / 100
Middlesbrough 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
QPR Middlesbrough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
QPR found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Middlesbrough conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: QPR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
QPR VS Middlesbrough
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
QPR
(Home) 31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1 QPR
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0 Swansea
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0 QPR
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1 Derby
09 Oct
West Ham
1 : 1 QPR
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0 Swansea
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1 Derby
19 Sept
QPR
2 : 2 Preston
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1 Middlesbrough
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1 Cardiff
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough
(Away) 31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 Charlton
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
10 Oct
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wolves
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
