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QPR vs Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Loftus Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kone R.
Assist: Smyth P.
10' Event
Kone R.
Assist: Poku K.
14'
Vigouroux L.

AI Match Summary

QPR in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored QPR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
QPR
15%
Draws
39%
Swansea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: QPR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea lately — more wins on the board than QPR.
  • Win probability leans QPR's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
QPR Clean Sheet 68%
Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Swansea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Swansea
5:0
Apr 21, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Swansea
1:2
Oct 22, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs QPR
0:1
Apr 21, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Swansea
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs QPR
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dunne J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Swansea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 95 / 100
Swansea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Swansea let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

QPR has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Swansea
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
03 Nov
QPR
1 : 1
Burnley
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1
QPR
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0
Swansea
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0
QPR
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1
Derby
Page 1 of 6

Swansea

(Away)
03 Nov
Portsmouth
3 : 1
Swansea
31 Oct
Swansea
4 : 0
Blackburn
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0
Swansea
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1
Swansea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)