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QPR vs Swansea Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Loftus Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ronald
23'
Morgan K.
29'
Sub
Poku K. In: Smyth P.
Out: Poku K.

AI Match Summary

Swansea in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
QPR
35%
Draws
41%
Swansea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Swansea have won more games recently than QPR.
  • Swansea are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
QPR Clean Sheet 23%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Swansea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Swansea
1:2
Oct 22, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs QPR
0:1
Apr 21, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Swansea
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs QPR
3:0
Apr 1, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs QPR
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR Compare

Top Goalscorer Norrington-Davies R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 24 / 100
Swansea 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Swansea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: QPR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Swansea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
19 Sept
QPR
2 : 2
Preston
12 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
QPR
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1
Middlesbrough
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Swansea

(Away)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)