Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quebracho Villa Montes vs Ciclon

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Quebracho Villa Montes and Ciclon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Quebracho Villa Montes
30%
Draws
29%
Ciclon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quebracho Villa Montes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Quebracho Villa Montes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Quebracho Villa Montes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Quebracho Villa Montes Clean Sheet 18%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quebracho Villa Montes Ciclon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.27 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Quebracho Villa Montes
1:0
Oct 1, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Ciclon
1:0
Dec 7, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Quebracho Villa Montes
3:1
Nov 16, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Ciclon
1:1
Nov 23, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Ciclon
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quebracho Villa Montes 49 / 100
Ciclon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quebracho Villa Montes Ciclon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quebracho Villa Montes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quebracho Villa Montes found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Ciclon let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Quebracho Villa Montes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quebracho Villa Montes VS Ciclon
1.67 Goals Scored 0.5
2.17 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quebracho Villa Montes

(Home)
10 Oct
Quebracho Villa Montes
2 : 1
Nacional Senac
03 Oct
Garcia Agreda
2 : 2
Quebracho Villa Montes
30 Sept
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
25 Sept
Nacional Senac
2 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
22 Sept
Quebracho Villa Montes
4 : 2
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 6

Ciclon

(Away)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 6 4 2 0 12:6 14
2 Real America 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Universitario Beni 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Miraflores 6 0 0 6 6:18 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
3 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 12:9 10
4 Tiquipaya 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
5 Deportivo Escara 8 0 2 6 5:26 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 5 1 2 10:8 16
2 Ciclon 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Fancesa 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
4 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 3 1 4 21:12 10
5 Rosario Central 8 1 1 6 9:33 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)