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Quebracho Villa Montes vs Fancesa

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2014/2015 game between Quebracho Villa Montes and Fancesa finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Quebracho Villa Montes
20%
Draws
29%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Quebracho Villa Montes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quebracho Villa Montes come out ahead of Fancesa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Quebracho Villa Montes Clean Sheet 12%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quebracho Villa Montes Fancesa
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.24 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Quebracho Villa Montes
2:0
Oct 29, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Fancesa
2:1
Nov 22, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Quebracho Villa Montes
5:0
Oct 18, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Fancesa
5:2
Dec 20, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Quebracho Villa Montes
9:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quebracho Villa Montes 35 / 100
Fancesa 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quebracho Villa Montes Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fancesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quebracho Villa Montes's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Fancesa let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Quebracho Villa Montes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fancesa
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quebracho Villa Montes

(Home)
10 Oct
Quebracho Villa Montes
2 : 1
Nacional Senac
03 Oct
Garcia Agreda
2 : 2
Quebracho Villa Montes
30 Sept
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
25 Sept
Nacional Senac
2 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
22 Sept
Quebracho Villa Montes
4 : 2
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 7

Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 8 5 2 1 17:6 17
2 Destroyers 8 4 3 1 22:5 15
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
4 El Torno FC 8 3 1 4 18:14 10
5 Real Mapajo 8 0 0 8 2:34 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maestranza 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 4 1 3 18:11 13
3 Aurora 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Enrique Happ 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
5 Oruro Royal 8 0 1 7 7:27 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 7 1 0 26:6 22
2 Ciclon 8 5 1 2 24:12 16
3 Fancesa 8 4 2 2 21:15 14
4 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 1 0 7 13:20 3
5 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 1 0 7 15:46 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)