Sport Picks

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup Palmerston Park, Dumfries

Queen of the South

1 - 4

Aberdeen

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Clark N.

Assist: Smith L.

37'

Nisbet K.

(Penalty)

42'

Molloy G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Queen of the South

30%

Draws

37%

Aberdeen

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Aberdeen have won more games recently than Queen of the South.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Aberdeen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aberdeen, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Aberdeen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Queen of the South	Aberdeen
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	14
Draws	7	4
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.86	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 League Cup

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen

1:4

Jul 13, 2024 League Cup

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen

0:3

Feb 10, 2019 Scottish Cup

Aberdeen vs Queen of the South

4:1

Feb 14, 2012 Scottish Cup

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen

1:2

Feb 4, 2012 Scottish Cup

Aberdeen vs Queen of the South

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nisbet K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lyons B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 30 / 100

Aberdeen 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Queen of the South Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Aberdeen conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Queen of the South stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Aberdeen

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen of the South

(Home)

10 Oct

Peterhead

0 : 1

Queen of the South

03 Oct

Queen of the South

4 : 3

Cove Rangers

26 Sept

Queen of the South

4 : 2

Rangers B

22 Sept

Queen of the South

1 : 1

Annan

19 Sept

Hamilton

4 : 1

Queen of the South

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Aberdeen

(Away)

03 Oct

Dunfermline

1 : 4

Aberdeen

19 Sept

Hibernian

1 : 1

Aberdeen

15 Sept

Motherwell

0 : 4

Aberdeen

12 Sept

Kilmarnock

1 : 2

Aberdeen

05 Sept

Aberdeen

0 : 0

Kilmarnock

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