Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Palmerston Park, Dumfries

Queen of the South

1 - 4

Aberdeen

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Clark N.

Assist: Smith L.

37'

Nisbet K.

(Penalty)

42'

Molloy G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen in this League Cup tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Queen of the South

Draws

90%

Aberdeen

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Aberdeen have won more games recently than Queen of the South.
Win probability leans Aberdeen's way, sitting at 90%.
Aberdeen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aberdeen, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Aberdeen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Queen of the South Clean Sheet 12%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Queen of the South	Aberdeen
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	9	13
Draws	9	3
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.25	1.5
Goals Conceded	2	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 League Cup

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen

1:4

Jul 13, 2024 League Cup

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen

0:3

Feb 10, 2019 Scottish Cup

Aberdeen vs Queen of the South

4:1

Feb 14, 2012 Scottish Cup

Queen of the South vs Aberdeen

1:2

Feb 4, 2012 Scottish Cup

Aberdeen vs Queen of the South

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nisbet K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lyons B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 10 / 100

Aberdeen 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Queen of the South Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Aberdeen conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Queen of the South stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Aberdeen

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

2 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen of the South

(Home)

25 Jul

Queen's Park

3 : 1

Queen of the South

22 Jul

Queen of the South

1 : 4

Aberdeen

18 Jul

Brora Rangers

0 : 3

Queen of the South

11 Jul

Queen of the South

1 : 2

Kelty Hearts

04 Jul

Queen of the South

1 : 2

Crusaders

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Aberdeen

(Away)

25 Jul

Aberdeen

3 : 0

Kelty Hearts

22 Jul

Queen of the South

1 : 4

Aberdeen

18 Jul

Aberdeen

2 : 1

Queen's Park

14 Jul

Brora Rangers

0 : 2

Aberdeen

11 Jul

Linfield

0 : 2

Aberdeen

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