Sport Picks
Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts
Scotland
League Cup Palmerston Park, Dumfries 
Match Events
28'
28'
Cunningham R.
Assist: Ferguson A.
31'
31'
Clark N.
Assist: Smith L.
66'
66'
McQueen C.
AI Match Summary
Kelty Hearts in this League Cup tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Queen of the South
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Queen of the South have won more games recently than Kelty Hearts.
- Win probability leans Queen of the South's way, sitting at 40%.
- Queen of the South have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Queen of the South, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 20%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queen of the South | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 League Cup
Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Queen of the South
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Queen of the South
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queen of the South Compare
Top Goalscorer Clark N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Kelty Hearts Compare
Top Goalscorer Cunningham R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queen of the South 40 / 100
Kelty Hearts 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queen of the South Kelty Hearts
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queen of the South's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Kelty Hearts let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Kelty Hearts has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Queen of the South VS Kelty Hearts
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Queen of the South
(Home) 25 Jul
Queen's Park
3 : 1 Queen of the South
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4 Aberdeen
18 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 3 Queen of the South
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Crusaders
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4 Aberdeen
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Crusaders
27 Jun
Queen of the South
0 : 1 Connahs Q.
05 May
Queen of the South
1 : 1 Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 4
Kelty Hearts
(Away) 25 Jul
Aberdeen
3 : 0 Kelty Hearts
21 Jul
Kelty Hearts
3 : 2 Brora Rangers
14 Jul
Kelty Hearts
0 : 2 Queen's Park
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Kelty Hearts
0 : 3 Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Aberdeen
3 : 0 Kelty Hearts
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Kelty Hearts
27 Jun
East Kilbride
4 : 0 Kelty Hearts
20 Jun
Gala Fairydean Rovers
2 : 1 Kelty Hearts
02 May
Peterhead
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Queen's Park | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Queen of the South | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Brora Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Montrose | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Stirling | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartans | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Mirren | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Dunfermline | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:13 | 3 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Dundee FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Clyde | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 5 | Annan | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:16 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Partick | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Livingston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:1 | 8 |
| 4 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:15 | 3 |
| 5 | Brechin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 11 |
| 2 | East Fife | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 3 | St Johnstone | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Linlithgow Rose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Morton | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:7 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Alloa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Raith | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 4 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Elgin City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:12 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
