Sport Picks

Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Palmerston Park

Montrose

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Queen of the South play Montrose in the League One 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Queen of the South averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Montrose averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Queen of the South won 2, Montrose won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Queen of the South and 1.13 for Montrose. This points to a Montrose double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Queen of the South

28%

Draws

36%

Montrose

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Queen of the South picked up more points recently compared to Montrose.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Queen of the South Clean Sheet 21%

Montrose Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Queen of the South	Montrose
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	10
Draws	10	8
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.66	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League One

Queen of the South vs Montrose

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Feb 21, 2026 League One

Montrose vs Queen of the South

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Dec 20, 2025 League One

Queen of the South vs Montrose

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sep 27, 2025 League One

Montrose vs Queen of the South

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Apr 12, 2025 League One

Queen of the South vs Montrose

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickenson B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Luissint B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Loudon E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sutherland T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 37 / 100

Montrose 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Queen of the South Montrose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montrose or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Queen of the South attacking → ← attacking Montrose

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Montrose let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Queen of the South went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Montrose lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 38

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inverness	36	21	11	4	60:24	69
2	Stenhousemuir	36	18	13	5	50:27	67
3	Queen of the South	36	14	12	10	58:47	54
4	Alloa	36	15	8	13	50:38	53
5	Peterhead	36	12	7	17	48:64	43
6	Montrose	36	11	9	16	48:67	42
7	Cove Rangers	36	9	11	16	41:44	38
8	East Fife	36	9	9	18	34:61	36
9	Hamilton	36	16	7	13	54:42	34
10	Kelty Hearts	36	6	11	19	33:62	29