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Queens University vs Ards

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Queens University
30%
Draws
33%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Queens University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Queens University at 1.79 per game, Ards at 1.59.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Queens University Clean Sheet 16%
Ards Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queens University Ards
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Queens University vs Ards
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Championship
Queens University vs Ards
1:0
Sep 16, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Queens University
2:3
Apr 30, 2022 NIFL Championship
Queens University vs Ards
2:3
Jan 29, 2022 NIFL Championship
Queens University vs Ards
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queens University 30 / 100
Ards 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queens University Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queens University Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Queens University's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ards has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Queens University remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queens University VS Ards
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Queens University

(Home)
22 Aug
Queens University
4 : 1
Institute
15 Aug
Newington FC
2 : 1
Queens University
11 Aug
Queens University
2 : 1
Harland & Wolff
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
01 Aug
Queens University
3 : 3
Rosario Youth
Page 1 of 6

Ards

(Away)
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2
Dundela
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Limavady 33 21 8 4 61:32 71
2 Annagh 33 22 5 6 54:27 71
3 Harland & Wolff 33 17 8 8 77:41 59
4 Newington FC 33 15 6 12 69:52 51
5 Loughgall 33 13 12 8 46:34 51
6 Queens University 33 12 11 10 43:42 47
7 Institute 33 13 7 13 47:43 46
8 Ards 33 12 7 14 50:46 43
9 Warrenpoint 33 10 6 17 44:50 36
10 Ballinamallard 33 8 10 15 36:52 34
11 Dundela 33 3 11 19 37:73 20
12 Armagh 33 4 5 24 28:100 17
Promotion - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)