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Queensland Lions U23 vs Olympic FC U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions U23 play Olympic FC U23 in the NPL Queensland U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Queensland Lions U23 averaged 2.59 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Olympic FC U23 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Queensland Lions U23 won 0, Olympic FC U23 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Queensland Lions U23 and 1.19 for Olympic FC U23. This points to a Queensland Lions U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Queensland Lions U23
18%
Draws
32%
Olympic FC U23
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Queensland Lions U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions U23 picked up more points recently compared to Olympic FC U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Olympic FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions U23 Olympic FC U23
Matches Played 17 17
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.59 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Olympic FC U23
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Olympic FC U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions U23 49 / 100
Olympic FC U23 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions U23 Olympic FC U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Queensland Lions U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Queensland Lions U23 attacking → ← attacking Olympic FC U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions U23 scored in 94% of their last 17 games.

Olympic FC U23 let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Queensland Lions U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Olympic FC U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 23
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Queensland Lions U2317114244:1837
2Rochedale U2317112446:2335
3Gold Coast Knights SC U2316101542:2731
4Moreton City Excelsior U231692542:2329
5Eastern Suburbs U231792637:2229
6Olympic FC U231772830:3323
7Gold Coast U231672734:3923
8Peninsula U231762934:4220
9QLD State Team U171661935:4319
10Brisbane City U231753934:4718
11Wynnum Wolves U2317521025:4117
12Magic United TFA FC U2317211412:577