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Queensland Lions U23 vs Brisbane City U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Queensland Lions U23
6%
Draws
4%
Brisbane City U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Queensland Lions U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions U23 have won more games recently than Brisbane City U23.
  • Queensland Lions U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Brisbane City U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions U23 Brisbane City U23
Matches Played 18 18
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Brisbane City U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
4:4
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Brisbane City U23
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions U23 84 / 100
Brisbane City U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions U23 Brisbane City U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queensland Lions U23 scored in 94% of their last 18 outings.

Brisbane City U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Brisbane City U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions U23 VS Brisbane City U23
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions U2318115245:1938
2Rochedale U2318122449:2438
3Gold Coast Knights SC U2317111545:2834
4Moreton City Excelsior U2317102548:2432
5Eastern Suburbs U231893638:2330
6Gold Coast U231782741:4026
7Olympic FC U231872931:4023
8Peninsula U2318621034:4320
9Wynnum Wolves U2318621026:4120
10QLD State Team U1717611036:4619
11Brisbane City U2318531035:5018
12Magic United TFA FC U2318211513:637