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Queensland Lions U23 vs Peninsula U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between Queensland Lions U23 and Peninsula U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Queensland Lions U23
15%
Draws
0%
Peninsula U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Queensland Lions U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions U23 Peninsula U23
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.36 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Peninsula U23
3:0
Apr 24, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions U23 84 / 100
Peninsula U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions U23 Peninsula U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions U23 found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (22 games).

Peninsula U23 has conceded goals in 95% of their last 22 outings.

Peninsula U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions U23 VS Peninsula U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions U23

(Home)
16 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 2
Queensland Lions U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1
QLD State Team U17
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
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Peninsula U23

(Away)
16 Aug
Peninsula U23
0 : 3
Brisbane City U23
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
5 : 2
Peninsula U23
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
11 Jul
Peninsula U23
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)