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Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fiechtner A.
26' Event
Deng C.
61' Event
Love-Semira M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Queensland Lions
20%
Draws
32%
Brisbane City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queensland Lions lately — more wins on the board than Brisbane City.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Queensland Lions taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 19%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Brisbane City
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 24 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.44 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Queensland Lions
0:4
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Queensland Lions
4:2
May 13, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City
4:3
Jul 6, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Queensland Lions
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deng C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Brisbane City Compare

Top Goalscorer Love-Semira M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anich J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Brisbane City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Brisbane City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (32 games).

Brisbane City let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Queensland Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Brisbane City
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2
Queensland Lions
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Brisbane City

(Away)
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0
Gold Coast Utd
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2
Brisbane City
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0
Brisbane City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)