Sport Picks
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23
AI Match Summary
Queensland Lions host Brisbane Roar U23 in the NPL Queensland. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Brisbane Roar U23 have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Queensland Lions have conceded 1.13 and scored 3. Head-to-head, Queensland Lions have won 4 to Brisbane Roar U23's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.50 - 1.44) back Queensland Lions to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Queensland Lions have won more games recently than Brisbane Roar U23.
- Win probability leans Queensland Lions's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors Queensland Lions here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queensland Lions | Brisbane Roar U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queensland Lions's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Brisbane Roar U23 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Queensland Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Queensland Lions
(Home)Brisbane Roar U23
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 50:20 | 44 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 45:22 | 43 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 49:30 | 36 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 42:28 | 34 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 41:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31:35 | 29 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 33:31 | 28 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 34:39 | 23 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 28:55 | 16 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 29:48 | 15 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 27:46 | 13 |