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Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions host Brisbane Roar U23 in the NPL Queensland. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Brisbane Roar U23 have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Queensland Lions have conceded 1.13 and scored 3. Head-to-head, Queensland Lions have won 4 to Brisbane Roar U23's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.50 - 1.44) back Queensland Lions to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Queensland Lions
33%
Draws
27%
Brisbane Roar U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Queensland Lions have won more games recently than Brisbane Roar U23.
  • Win probability leans Queensland Lions's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Queensland Lions here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 16%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Brisbane Roar U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 3 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
1:3
Jun 8, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:0
Jun 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
0:5
Mar 17, 2024 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 39 / 100
Brisbane Roar U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Brisbane Roar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brisbane Roar U23 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Queensland Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Brisbane Roar U23
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
07 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1
Queensland Lions
04 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 0
Olympic FC
Page 1 of 6

Brisbane Roar U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1
Rochedale
05 Jul
Brisbane City
1 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
20 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 4
Brisbane Roar U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC19104542:2834
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC19721034:3923
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd19421323:3714
12Brisbane Roar U2319411427:4613
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)