Sport Picks
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane 
Match Events
2'
2'
Schneider J.
35'
35'
Morris A.
44'
44'
Broderick L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Queensland Lions in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Queensland Lions have won more games recently than Brisbane Roar U23.
- Win probability leans Queensland Lions's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Queensland Lions here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 18%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queensland Lions | Brisbane Roar U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 25 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.52 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.04 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23
4:2
May 15, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
1:3
Jun 8, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:0
Jun 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queensland Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Broderick L.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02
Brisbane Roar U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Schneider J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morris A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Brisbane Roar U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queensland Lions Brisbane Roar U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queensland Lions's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Brisbane Roar U23 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Queensland Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Queensland Lions VS Brisbane Roar U23
2.25 Goals Scored 1.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Queensland Lions
(Home) 15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0 North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0 North Sunshine Eagles
11 Aug
Queensland Lions
2 : 0 Melbourne City
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
Page 1 of 4
Brisbane Roar U23
(Away) 14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2 Gold Coast Knights SC
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1 Rochedale
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07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
05 Jul
Brisbane City
1 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
20 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 4 Brisbane Roar U23
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
