Sport Picks
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights SC
Australia
NPL Queensland Lions Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Queensland Lions host Gold Coast Knights SC in the NPL Queensland. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gold Coast Knights SC have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Queensland Lions have conceded 1.25 and scored 3.13. Past meetings favor Queensland Lions slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 7, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.94, favoring Queensland Lions. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Queensland Lions has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gold Coast Knights SC.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Queensland Lions.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Queensland provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queensland Lions | Gold Coast Knights SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 3.13 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.13 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queensland Lions Compare
Gold Coast Knights SC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queensland Lions scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Gold Coast Knights SC let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Queensland Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Gold Coast Knights SC lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43:20 | 42 |
| 2 | Queensland Lions | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 48:20 | 38 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 47:28 | 35 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 40:25 | 32 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 32:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 38:39 | 26 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:34 | 26 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31:35 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 27:45 | 15 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 26:43 | 13 |
| 11 | Magic United TFA FC | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24:54 | 13 |
| 12 | Gold Coast Utd | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19:35 | 10 |