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Queensland Lions vs Peninsula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Queensland Lions Logo

Queensland Lions

1 - 0
FT
Peninsula Logo

Peninsula

Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Lagos J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Queensland Lions and Peninsula finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Queensland Lions
20%
Draws
29%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Queensland Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Queensland Lions taking it.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Queensland Lions have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Peninsula
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 25 17
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.41 1.94
Goals Conceded 1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
1:0
Aug 30, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
4:1
Aug 1, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Queensland Lions
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Peninsula Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Peninsula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions scored in 97% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Peninsula conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Queensland Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Peninsula
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
18 Oct
Queensland Lions
1 : 2
South Hobart
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
Page 1 of 7

Peninsula

(Away)
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)