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Queensland Lions vs Peninsula

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Queensland Lions Logo

Queensland Lions

1 - 0
FT
Peninsula Logo

Peninsula

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Oyet F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Queensland Lions
20%
Draws
24%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions come out ahead of Peninsula on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Queensland Lions taking it.
  • Queensland Lions have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Queensland Lions, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Queensland Lions have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Peninsula
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.53 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
1:0
Aug 30, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
4:1
Aug 1, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Queensland Lions
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyet F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Peninsula Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Peninsula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Peninsula conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Queensland Lions has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Peninsula
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2
Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6

Peninsula

(Away)
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Queensland Lions 4
Peninsula 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreton City Excelsior 2
Gold Coast Knights SC 0
Semi-finals
Queensland Lions -
TBD -
Peninsula 3
Moreton City Excelsior 2
Final
Queensland Lions 1
Peninsula 0