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Queensland Lions vs Perth Glory

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Lions Stadium
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions host Perth Glory in the Australia Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Queensland Lions have averaged 3 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Perth Glory's 1.33 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Queensland Lions have won 0 to Perth Glory's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2015, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.92 xG vs 1.23) point toward Queensland Lions. Queensland Lions in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Queensland Lions
28%
Draws
22%
Perth Glory
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Perth Glory.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Queensland Lions.
  • Cup tournament structure in Australia Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Perth Glory
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 3 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2015 Australia Cup
Queensland Lions vs Perth Glory
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 49 / 100
Perth Glory 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Perth Glory

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Perth Glory let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Queensland Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Perth Glory lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Perth Glory
3 Goals Scored 1.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tigers FC-
Western Sydney Wanderers-
Kingborough Lions-
Melbourne Victory-
Azzurri United-
Macarthur FC-
APIA Leichhardt-
Peninsula-
South Melbourne-
Adelaide Utd-
Marlin Coast-
Brunswick Juventus-
Rochedale-
SD Raiders-
Weston Workers Bears-
Melbourne City-
Bayswater-
Sydney FC-
Maitland-
Fremantle City-
Queensland Lions-
Perth Glory-
Cumberland United-
Heidelberg Utd-
Sydney Utd-
Central Coast-
FK Beograd-
North Sunshine Eagles-
Preston Lions-
Newcastle Jets-
Sydney Olympic-
Brisbane Roar-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-