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Queimadense vs CSP

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Natalicio
60' Event
Betinho
65'
Wesley Pereira

AI Match Summary

CSP in this Paraibano 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Queimadense
15%
Draws
76%
CSP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSP lately — more wins on the board than Queimadense.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on CSP taking it.
  • Regular Paraibano 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Queimadense Clean Sheet 21%
CSP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queimadense CSP
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2023 Paraibano
Queimadense vs CSP
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queimadense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

CSP Compare

Top Goalscorer Natalicio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Betinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queimadense 10 / 100
CSP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queimadense CSP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queimadense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: CSP conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Queimadense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queimadense VS CSP
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Queimadense

(Home)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
18 Sept
Queimadense
2 : 3
Cruzeiro-PB
14 Sept
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 0
Queimadense
11 Sept
Queimadense
1 : 1
Confianca PB
08 Sept
Spartax
4 : 2
Queimadense
Page 1 of 6

CSP

(Away)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Treze PB 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
3 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 3 2 7:6 15
4 Botafogo PB 9 3 6 0 11:6 15
5 Nacional PB 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
6 Campinense 9 3 5 1 8:6 14
7 CSP 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Serra Branca 9 1 6 2 8:11 9
9 Queimadense 9 0 4 5 6:13 4
10 Auto Esporte 9 0 2 7 7:18 2
Promotion - Paraibano 2023 (Play Offs)