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Quepos FC vs AD Rosario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vega D.
49' Event
Jimenez A.
90' Event
Camacho A.

AI Match Summary

Quepos FC in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quepos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Quepos FC
15%
Draws
45%
AD Rosario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quepos FC lately — more wins on the board than AD Rosario.
  • Win probability leans Quepos FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Quepos FC Clean Sheet 19%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quepos FC AD Rosario
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 16 6
Draws 2 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.85 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Quepos FC
1:0
Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs AD Rosario
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quepos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AD Rosario Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quepos FC 36 / 100
AD Rosario 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quepos FC AD Rosario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Rosario has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Quepos FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Quepos FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quepos FC VS AD Rosario
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quepos FC

(Home)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
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AD Rosario

(Away)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)