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Quepos FC vs AD Sarchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quepos FC host AD Sarchi in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Quepos FC at 1.76 goals for, 1.17 against; AD Sarchi at 1.32 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Quepos FC have won 2 to AD Sarchi's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward Quepos FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Quepos FC
15%
Draws
34%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quepos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Quepos FC have won more games recently than AD Sarchi.
  • Quepos FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Quepos FC Clean Sheet 20%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quepos FC AD Sarchi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Quepos FC
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs AD Sarchi
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Quepos FC
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Quepos FC
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs AD Sarchi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quepos FC 85 / 100
AD Sarchi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quepos FC AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quepos FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Quepos FC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Quepos FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quepos FC VS AD Sarchi
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quepos FC

(Home)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
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AD Sarchi

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)