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Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro U21 host Monterrey U21 in the Liga MX U21. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Queretaro U21 at 1.5 goals for, 1.82 against; Monterrey U21 at 2.07 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Monterrey U21 slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.00) point toward Monterrey U21. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Queretaro U21
15%
Draws
64%
Monterrey U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monterrey U21 lately — more wins on the board than Queretaro U21.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monterrey U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro U21 Monterrey U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Queretaro U21
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro U21 30 / 100
Monterrey U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro U21 Monterrey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro U21's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monterrey U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Queretaro U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro U21 VS Monterrey U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro U21

(Home)
30 Oct
Juarez U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
25 Oct
Queretaro U21
5 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
20 Oct
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Queretaro U21
17 Oct
Santos Laguna U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
10 Oct
Queretaro U21
2 : 3
Atlante U21
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Monterrey U21

(Away)
31 Oct
Monterrey U21
3 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
24 Oct
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21
21 Oct
Puebla U21
3 : 2
Monterrey U21
18 Oct
Monterrey U21
3 : 2
Pachuca U21
10 Oct
Club America U21
3 : 0
Monterrey U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 15 15 0 0 36:10 41
2 Club Leon U21 15 12 0 3 27:19 31
3 Club America U21 15 8 0 7 22:19 25
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 15 8 0 7 23:25 25
5 Necaxa U21 16 9 0 7 18:20 25
6 Puebla U21 14 8 0 6 19:15 24
7 Juarez U21 16 8 0 8 19:19 24
8 Club Tijuana U21 15 8 0 7 20:22 24
9 Atlante U21 16 8 0 8 24:28 24
10 Monterrey U21 14 8 0 6 31:22 23
11 UNAM Pumas U21 15 6 0 9 17:19 23
12 Atletico San Luis U21 16 8 0 8 30:33 22
13 Santos Laguna U21 16 7 0 9 17:21 21
14 Pachuca U21 15 5 0 10 18:23 20
15 Atlas U21 15 4 0 11 18:24 16
16 Tigres UANL U21 15 5 0 10 20:27 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 15 6 0 9 23:29 15
18 Queretaro U21 14 3 0 11 21:28 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)