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Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro U21 host Monterrey U21 in the Liga MX U21. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Queretaro U21 at 1.25 goals for, 1.64 against; Monterrey U21 at 1.78 for, 1.56 against. Past meetings favor Monterrey U21 slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.63) point toward Monterrey U21. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Queretaro U21
15%
Draws
59%
Monterrey U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monterrey U21 lately — more wins on the board than Queretaro U21.
  • Monterrey U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monterrey U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro U21 Monterrey U21
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Queretaro U21
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Monterrey U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro U21 15 / 100
Monterrey U21 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro U21 Monterrey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Queretaro U21 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Queretaro U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro U21 VS Monterrey U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro U21

(Home)
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Queretaro U21
01 Aug
Queretaro U21
4 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
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Monterrey U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 8 7 0 1 16:9 18
2 Club Tijuana U21 7 5 0 2 13:8 17
3 Toluca U21 6 6 0 0 12:3 16
4 Puebla U21 7 5 0 2 10:5 15
5 Club America U21 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
6 Guadalajara Chivas U21 7 4 0 3 11:9 12
7 Cruz Azul U21 7 5 0 2 16:10 11
8 Necaxa U21 8 4 0 4 8:12 11
9 Atlas U21 7 3 0 4 10:7 10
10 Pachuca U21 8 2 0 6 8:12 10
11 Santos Laguna U21 7 3 0 4 6:10 10
12 Monterrey U21 6 3 0 3 11:7 9
13 Juarez U21 6 3 0 3 6:7 8
14 Atletico San Luis U21 8 3 0 5 12:16 8
15 Atlante U21 8 2 0 6 8:16 8
16 UNAM Pumas U21 7 2 0 5 6:9 7
17 Tigres UANL U21 8 2 0 6 7:16 7
18 Queretaro U21 7 1 0 6 6:12 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)