Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queretaro vs Club Leon

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Duarte B.
46'
Sub
Cortizo J. In: Lara J.
Out: Cortizo J.
46'
Sub
Alvarado A. In: Guerra E.
Out: Alvarado A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Queretaro
30%
Draws
33%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Leon lately — more wins on the board than Queretaro.
  • Queretaro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 16%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Club Leon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club Leon
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club Leon
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Queretaro
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club Leon
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Queretaro
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Benito I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Club Leon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 48 / 100
Club Leon 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Club Leon let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Queretaro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Club Leon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro

(Home)
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas
0 : 0
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon

(Away)
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)