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Queretaro vs Cruz Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cruz Azul have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Queretaro have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.18. Past meetings favor Cruz Azul slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.25) back Cruz Azul to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Queretaro
35%
Draws
24%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul come out ahead of Queretaro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cruz Azul's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 19%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Cruz Azul
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Queretaro
2:2
Feb 24, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Queretaro
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
0:2
Feb 3, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 24 / 100
Cruz Azul 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Cruz Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queretaro scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Cruz Azul conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Queretaro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Cruz Azul
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro

(Home)
17 Oct
Santos Laguna
5 : 0
Queretaro
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
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Cruz Azul

(Away)
18 Oct
Cruz Azul
5 : 0
Juarez
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
3 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12 5 5 2 19:12 20
5 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
6 Queretaro 11 6 2 3 15:13 20
7 Club Leon 12 5 3 4 18:17 18
8 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
9 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
10 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
11 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
12 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
13 Tigres UANL 12 3 5 4 14:16 14
14 Pachuca 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
15 Atletico San Luis 12 3 4 5 16:21 13
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 12 1 1 10 8:31 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)