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Queretaro W vs Club America W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio La Corregidora
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro W play Club America W in the Liga MX Women. Club America W are favorites here. Recently, Queretaro W averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Club America W averaged 2.48 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Queretaro W won 0, Club America W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.05 for Queretaro W and 2.04 for Club America W. This points to a Club America W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Queretaro W
15%
Draws
71%
Club America W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Queretaro W picked up more points recently compared to Club America W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.05 vs 2.04 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%
Club America W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro W Club America W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.83 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.20 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Club America W
1:4
Aug 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Queretaro W
11:0
Jan 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Queretaro W
7:0
Aug 7, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Club America W
0:4
Feb 8, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Club America W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro W 15 / 100
Club America W 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro W Club America W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club America W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Club America W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Queretaro W attacking → ← attacking Club America W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Club America W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.60 goals.

Queretaro W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Club America W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 63
0.60 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624