Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queretaro W vs Club Leon W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Rodriguez D. In: Santamaria E.
Out: Rodriguez D.
42' Event
Barrientos Y.
45'
Lozada A.

AI Match Summary

Club Leon W in this Liga MX Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Leon W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Queretaro W
11%
Draws
80%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Club Leon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Leon W lately — more wins on the board than Queretaro W.
  • Model gives Club Leon W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro W Club Leon W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Club Leon W
2:3
Aug 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Queretaro W
2:2
Mar 11, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Queretaro W
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Club Leon W
2:1
Apr 19, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Club Leon W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cecena S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrientos Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lemos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro W 10 / 100
Club Leon W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro W Club Leon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Club Leon W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Club Leon W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Queretaro W scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro W VS Club Leon W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro W

(Home)
25 Apr
Santos Laguna W
3 : 0
Queretaro W
05 Apr
Queretaro W
1 : 4
Club America W
01 Apr
Puebla W
0 : 0
Queretaro W
29 Mar
Queretaro W
2 : 1
Juarez W
22 Mar
Queretaro W
0 : 3
Club Tijuana W
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon W

(Away)
24 Apr
Club Leon W
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
06 Apr
Pachuca W
5 : 4
Club Leon W
31 Mar
Club Leon W
3 : 3
Toluca W
28 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 1
Club Leon W
24 Mar
Club Leon W
4 : 0
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)