Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queretaro W vs Monterrey W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
del Campo V.
Assist: Bosch L.
23' Event
Garcia L.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Carmona E. In: Heredia-Beltran D.
Out: Carmona E.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Queretaro W
15%
Draws
71%
Monterrey W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monterrey W lately — more wins on the board than Queretaro W.
  • Model gives Monterrey W a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Monterrey W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro W Monterrey W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 0.86 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.59 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Monterrey W
0:4
Jan 18, 2026 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Monterrey W
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Queretaro W
4:2
Apr 15, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Queretaro W
3:1
Sep 2, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Monterrey W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer del Campo V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Restrepo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro W 10 / 100
Monterrey W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro W Monterrey W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Queretaro W found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Monterrey W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Queretaro W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro W VS Monterrey W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro W

(Home)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
21 Sept
Atlante W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4
Monterrey W
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Monterrey W

(Away)
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4
Monterrey W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 9 8 0 1 35:10 24
2 Tigres UANL W 9 7 1 1 29:9 22
3 Juarez W 9 7 0 2 14:6 21
4 Toluca W 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
5 Club Leon W 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
6 Santos Laguna W 9 4 0 5 12:20 12
7 Cruz Azul W 9 4 0 5 11:21 12
8 Atlante W 8 2 0 6 6:12 6
9 Queretaro W 9 2 0 7 10:21 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 8 7 1 0 37:7 22
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 9 6 0 3 20:11 18
3 Atletico San Luis W 9 5 1 3 22:16 16
4 UNAM Pumas W 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 9 3 1 5 13:13 10
7 Club Tijuana W 9 2 0 7 12:24 6
8 Puebla W 9 1 0 8 13:38 3
9 Necaxa W 8 0 0 8 3:32 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)