Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quevilly vs Dijon

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Barka Y.
Assist: Domingues J.
42'
Atangana J.
68'
Diouf W.

AI Match Summary

Dijon in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Quevilly
35%
Draws
37%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dijon lately — more wins on the board than Quevilly.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 10%
Dijon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quevilly Dijon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Dijon
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Quevilly
4:1
Jan 24, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Quevilly
3:3
Aug 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Dijon
2:1
Dec 9, 2023 Coupe de France
Quevilly vs Dijon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quevilly Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Barka Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quevilly 30 / 100
Dijon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quevilly Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Dijon let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Quevilly stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Quevilly scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Quevilly VS Dijon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Quevilly

(Home)
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Quevilly
31 Jul
Quevilly
2 : 0
CMS Oissel
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Clermont
1 : 1
Quevilly
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Dijon

(Away)
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1
Dijon
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)