Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sarr D.
Assist: Seck D.
15'
Mroivili R.
20'
Sub
Jean-Marie M. In: Ros M.
Out: Jean-Marie M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Quevilly and Le Puy-en-Velay finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quevilly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Quevilly
30%
Draws
33%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quevilly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Puy-en-Velay come out ahead of Quevilly on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Quevilly taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 68%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quevilly Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Quevilly
2:1
Mar 13, 2020 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Quevilly
0:0
Oct 4, 2019 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quevilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seck D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quevilly 50 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quevilly Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quevilly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quevilly scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Quevilly remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quevilly VS Le Puy-en-Velay
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quevilly

(Home)
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
20 Aug
Rouen
3 : 0
Quevilly
Page 1 of 6

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
29 Aug
Cannes
2 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
20 Aug
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouen 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
2 Caen 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
3 La Roche Vendee 7 4 3 0 10:6 15
4 Concarneau 7 3 3 1 9:6 12
5 Thionville 7 3 3 1 13:11 12
6 Amiens SC 7 3 2 2 8:2 11
7 Cannes 7 2 5 0 8:3 11
8 Versailles 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
9 Le Puy-en-Velay 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
10 Bastia 7 3 1 3 6:9 10
11 Paris 13 Atletico 7 2 3 2 5:7 9
12 Quevilly 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
13 Fleury-Merogis 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Orleans 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
15 Valenciennes 7 1 2 4 7:12 5
16 Aubagne FC 7 1 1 5 3:8 4
17 Bourg Peronnas 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
18 Villefranche 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)