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Stadium Background

Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sarr D.
Assist: Seck D.
15'
Mroivili R.
20'
Sub
Jean-Marie M. In: Ros M.
Out: Jean-Marie M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Quevilly and Le Puy-en-Velay finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quevilly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Quevilly
30%
Draws
37%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quevilly come out ahead of Le Puy-en-Velay on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 20%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quevilly Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Quevilly
2:1
Mar 13, 2020 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Quevilly
0:0
Oct 4, 2019 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Le Puy-en-Velay
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quevilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seck D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quevilly 32 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quevilly Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quevilly scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Quevilly remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quevilly VS Le Puy-en-Velay
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quevilly

(Home)
07 Nov
Villefranche
0 : 2
Quevilly
31 Oct
Bastia
2 : 0
Quevilly
17 Oct
Quevilly
3 : 2
Orleans
03 Oct
Cannes
3 : 1
Quevilly
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
07 Nov
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
2 : 2
Caen
17 Oct
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 12 8 3 1 19:10 27
2 Rouen 12 8 2 2 22:9 26
3 Caen 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Versailles 12 7 1 4 19:14 22
5 Amiens SC 12 5 5 2 16:5 20
6 Concarneau 12 5 5 2 16:11 20
7 Cannes 12 4 6 2 14:8 18
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
9 Paris 13 Atletico 12 4 4 4 11:12 16
10 Quevilly 12 4 4 4 13:16 16
11 Thionville 12 4 4 4 17:17 16
12 Fleury 91 12 4 4 4 17:15 16
13 Bastia 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
14 Orleans 12 2 5 5 12:17 11
15 Valenciennes 12 2 4 6 13:19 10
16 Villefranche 12 2 2 8 10:26 8
17 Aubagne FC 12 2 1 9 6:19 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 12 1 3 8 6:19 6
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)