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Quevilly vs Orleans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quevilly host Orleans in the Ligue 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Orleans have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Quevilly have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Quevilly have won 2 to Orleans's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.13 - 0.88) back Orleans to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Quevilly
35%
Draws
22%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quevilly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Quevilly haven't matched Orleans's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Quevilly's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 20%
Orleans Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quevilly Orleans
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Quevilly
0:3
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Orleans
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Quevilly
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Orleans
1:1
Mar 15, 2021 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Quevilly
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quevilly 67 / 100
Orleans 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quevilly Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quevilly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quevilly scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Orleans let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Quevilly stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quevilly VS Orleans
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quevilly

(Home)
03 Oct
Cannes
3 : 1
Quevilly
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
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Orleans

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)