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Quilmes 2 vs Ferro 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
54' Event
Aimale J.
74' Event
Vazquez G.

AI Match Summary

Quilmes 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quilmes 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Quilmes 2
35%
Draws
24%
Ferro 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quilmes 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quilmes 2 lately — more wins on the board than Ferro 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Quilmes 2 taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Quilmes 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes 2 Ferro 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Reserve League
Quilmes 2 vs Ferro 2
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Quilmes 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quilmes 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aimale J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ferro 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 2 36 / 100
Ferro 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes 2 Ferro 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quilmes 2 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ferro 2 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Quilmes 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes 2 VS Ferro 2
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes 2

(Home)
04 Nov
Deportivo Riestra 2
2 : 4
Quilmes 2
29 Oct
Quilmes 2
0 : 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
21 Oct
Lanus 2
4 : 1
Quilmes 2
13 Oct
Quilmes 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
06 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Quilmes 2
Page 1 of 6

Ferro 2

(Away)
05 Nov
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
0 : 0
Ferro 2
29 Oct
Ferro 2
0 : 0
Huracan 2
21 Oct
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
15 Oct
Boca Juniors 2
1 : 0
Ferro 2
07 Oct
Ferro 2
0 : 0
Independiente 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 16 8 6 2 21:5 30
2 Talleres Cordoba 2 16 8 5 3 26:12 29
3 River Plate 2 16 7 8 1 28:15 29
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 16 8 4 4 18:13 28
5 Godoy Cruz 2 16 6 7 3 22:17 25
6 Rosario Central 2 16 6 7 3 21:20 25
7 Sarmiento Junin 2 16 5 7 4 14:12 22
8 San Lorenzo 2 16 6 3 7 17:19 21
9 Instituto 2 16 4 8 4 21:23 20
10 Atl. Tucuman 2 16 4 6 6 14:20 18
11 Union de Santa Fe 2 16 3 8 5 20:18 17
12 Gimnasia L.P. 2 16 4 5 7 14:14 17
13 Racing Club 2 16 3 8 5 25:29 17
14 Barracas Central 2 16 3 7 6 12:21 16
15 Banfield 2 16 4 4 8 15:25 16
16 Aldosivi 2 16 3 6 7 13:19 15
17 Tigre 2 16 4 3 9 18:27 15
18 Argentinos Jrs 2 16 3 6 7 11:23 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 16 11 4 1 36:13 37
2 Lanus 2 16 11 3 2 38:21 36
3 Boca Juniors 2 16 9 4 3 21:9 31
4 Estudiantes L.P. 2 16 8 5 3 30:17 29
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 16 8 5 3 24:21 29
6 Deportivo Riestra 2 16 8 3 5 28:19 27
7 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 16 6 7 3 15:12 25
8 Huracan 2 16 6 4 6 16:14 22
9 Atl. Rafaela 2 16 5 7 4 20:22 22
10 Newells Old Boys 2 16 4 8 4 21:18 20
11 Quilmes 2 16 5 5 6 16:19 20
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 16 5 3 8 22:30 18
13 Defensa y Justicia 2 16 3 7 6 21:26 16
14 San Martin S.J. 2 16 4 4 8 15:27 16
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 16 4 3 9 14:23 15
16 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 16 3 3 10 12:26 12
17 Platense 2 16 0 8 8 9:22 8
18 Ferro 2 16 1 5 10 9:26 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)