Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quilmes 2 vs Ferro 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
54' Event
Aimale J.
74' Event
Vazquez G.

AI Match Summary

Quilmes 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quilmes 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Quilmes 2
15%
Draws
21%
Ferro 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quilmes 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quilmes 2 lately — more wins on the board than Ferro 2.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Quilmes 2 taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Quilmes 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes 2 Ferro 2
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Reserve League
Quilmes 2 vs Ferro 2
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Quilmes 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quilmes 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aimale J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ferro 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 2 95 / 100
Ferro 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes 2 Ferro 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quilmes 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferro 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Quilmes 2 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ferro 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes 2 VS Ferro 2
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes 2

(Home)
16 Sept
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
03 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
26 Aug
Quilmes 2
1 : 2
Independiente 2
19 Aug
Atl. Rafaela 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
Page 1 of 6

Ferro 2

(Away)
16 Sept
Ferro 2
1 : 1
Platense 2
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
02 Sept
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
27 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
19 Aug
Ferro 2
0 : 5
San Martin S.J. 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 9 4 5 0 15:6 17
2 Rosario Central 2 9 4 4 1 13:11 16
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 9 5 0 4 12:11 15
4 Sarmiento Junin 2 9 3 5 1 8:5 14
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 9 2 7 0 11:6 13
6 Gimnasia L.P. 2 9 3 4 2 8:4 13
7 Godoy Cruz 2 9 3 4 2 12:9 13
8 Velez Sarsfield 2 9 3 4 2 6:3 13
9 Instituto 2 9 3 4 2 12:11 13
10 Talleres Cordoba 2 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
11 San Lorenzo 2 9 3 2 4 9:7 11
12 Racing Club 2 9 2 5 2 14:14 11
13 Tigre 2 9 3 2 4 12:16 11
14 Aldosivi 2 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
15 Banfield 2 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
16 Atl. Tucuman 2 9 2 2 5 5:12 8
17 Argentinos Jrs 2 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
18 Barracas Central 2 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 9 6 2 1 21:7 20
2 Boca Juniors 2 9 5 3 1 12:4 18
3 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 9 5 3 1 8:4 18
4 Estudiantes L.P. 2 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
5 Lanus 2 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 9 5 2 2 12:11 17
7 Atl. Rafaela 2 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
8 Deportivo Riestra 2 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
9 Quilmes 2 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
10 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
11 Huracan 2 9 3 1 5 10:9 10
12 San Martin S.J. 2 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
13 Newells Old Boys 2 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
14 Defensa y Justicia 2 9 1 5 3 15:15 8
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
16 Platense 2 9 0 5 4 3:10 5
17 Colon Santa Fe 2 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
18 Ferro 2 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)