Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quilmes 2 vs Lanus 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Peralta M.
85' Event
Duarte A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lanus 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanus 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Quilmes 2
15%
Draws
58%
Lanus 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Quilmes 2 haven't matched Lanus 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lanus 2 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Quilmes 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes 2 Lanus 2
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Reserve League
Quilmes 2 vs Lanus 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quilmes 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lanus 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 2 16 / 100
Lanus 2 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes 2 Lanus 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quilmes 2 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Lanus 2 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Quilmes 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes 2 VS Lanus 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes 2

(Home)
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
03 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
26 Aug
Quilmes 2
1 : 2
Independiente 2
19 Aug
Atl. Rafaela 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
13 Aug
Quilmes 2
1 : 0
Platense 2
Page 1 of 6

Lanus 2

(Away)
01 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
26 Aug
Colon Santa Fe 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
18 Aug
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 2
Lanus 2
12 Aug
Lanus 2
3 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
05 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
0 : 0
Lanus 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)