Sport Picks
Quilmes vs Atl. Rafaela Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes 
Match Events
41'
41'
Vera U.
Assist: Lavezzi A.
60'
60'
Ramirez R.
63'
63'
Sub
Cainelli N. In: Albertengo L.
Out: Cainelli N.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Quilmes and Atl. Rafaela finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quilmes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quilmes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Quilmes carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quilmes | Atl. Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Atl. Rafaela
1:2
Mar 26, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Quilmes
1:0
May 7, 2022 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Quilmes
1:2
Jan 24, 2021 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Quilmes
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Quilmes Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera U.
1 Goals Assists Leader Spetale A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Quilmes 41 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Quilmes Atl. Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Quilmes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Atl. Rafaela's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Quilmes scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Atl. Rafaela conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Quilmes VS Atl. Rafaela
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Quilmes
(Home) 26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0 San Telmo
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Rafaela
(Away) 27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
01 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 49:31 | 55 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 14 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 16 | CA Mitre | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 32:15 | 57 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 3 | Temperley | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:25 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
