Sport Picks
Quilmes vs Club Atletico Guemes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes 
Match Events
9'
9'
Lavezzi A.
(Penalty)
15'
15'
Guinazu L.
46'
46'
Sub
Lavezzi A. In: Vega G.
Out: Lavezzi A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Quilmes and Club Atletico Guemes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quilmes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quilmes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Quilmes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Quilmes's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quilmes | Club Atletico Guemes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Club Atletico Guemes
2:0
May 10, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Quilmes
2:1
Sep 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Club Atletico Guemes
0:0
May 18, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Quilmes
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Quilmes Compare
Top Goalscorer Vega G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Club Atletico Guemes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Quilmes 86 / 100
Club Atletico Guemes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Quilmes Club Atletico Guemes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Quilmes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Club Atletico Guemes let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Club Atletico Guemes's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Solid form: Quilmes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Quilmes's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Quilmes VS Club Atletico Guemes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Quilmes
(Home) 10 Oct
Quilmes
0 : 1 Agropecuario
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0 Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Quilmes
0 : 1 Agropecuario
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0 San Telmo
Page 1 of 3
Club Atletico Guemes
(Away) 04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1 Colegiales
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
30 Aug
San Martin T.
1 : 1 Club Atletico Guemes
19 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
15 Aug
CA Mitre
1 : 1 Club Atletico Guemes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 32:15 | 59 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 38:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 32:31 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | 42 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27:35 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
