Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes

Gimnasia Jujuy

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Quilmes host Gimnasia Jujuy in the Primera Nacional. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Quilmes have averaged 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Gimnasia Jujuy's 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Quilmes slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring Gimnasia Jujuy. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Quilmes

17%

Draws

70%

Gimnasia Jujuy

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Quilmes haven't matched Gimnasia Jujuy's recent run of results.
Model gives Gimnasia Jujuy a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Quilmes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Quilmes Clean Sheet 19%

Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Quilmes	Gimnasia Jujuy
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	14
Draws	11	8
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

May 18, 2024 Primera Nacional

Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Jul 1, 2023 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Feb 25, 2023 Primera Nacional

Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 16 / 100

Gimnasia Jujuy 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Quilmes Gimnasia Jujuy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Quilmes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Quilmes scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS Gimnasia Jujuy

0.88 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	20	12	4	4	23:14	40
2	Colon Santa Fe	20	9	8	3	27:15	35
3	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	20	7	9	4	19:16	30
6	CA Estudiantes	20	8	6	6	18:16	30
7	Almirante Brown	20	8	6	6	15:13	30
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	20	6	6	8	20:24	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	20	4	9	7	13:20	21
14	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
15	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
16	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
17	CA Mitre	20	3	9	8	19:27	18
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
4	Temperley	20	7	10	3	19:17	31
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	20	7	8	5	19:15	29
7	Deportivo Maipu	20	8	4	8	27:21	28
8	Atl. Rafaela	20	7	6	7	15:16	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	19	6	7	6	17:17	25
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	20	4	7	9	14:24	19
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19