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Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Quilmes Logo

Quilmes

2 - 0
FT
Gimnasia Jujuy Logo

Gimnasia Jujuy

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Martinez R.
51'
Cachi M.
62'
Sub
Bianchi O. In: Menendez C.
Out: Bianchi O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Quilmes in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quilmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Quilmes
30%
Draws
37%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Quilmes haven't matched Gimnasia Jujuy's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Quilmes a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Quilmes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes Gimnasia Jujuy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.96 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes
0:2
May 18, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:1
Jul 1, 2023 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quilmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavezzi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 42 / 100
Gimnasia Jujuy 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes Gimnasia Jujuy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Quilmes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Quilmes scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS Gimnasia Jujuy
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Jujuy

(Away)
03 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)