Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Cocimano S.
Penalty Missed
56'
Ferracutti G.
60'
Batista A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Quilmes
44%
Draws
20%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Nueva Chicago have won more games recently than Quilmes.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 28%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago
0:0
Oct 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
2:1
Oct 24, 2021 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 38 / 100
Nueva Chicago 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes Nueva Chicago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Quilmes scored in 39% of their last 28 outings.

Nueva Chicago's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Quilmes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS Nueva Chicago
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1
Colegiales
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0
Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1
Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

Nueva Chicago

(Away)
25 Jul
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
17 Jul
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Agropecuario
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
04 Jul
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
23 Jun
Nueva Chicago
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro22134525:1843
2Deportivo Moron21115533:1938
3Colon Santa Fe2298527:1835
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2189419:833
6Almirante Brown2288615:1332
7Godoy Cruz2187622:1831
8CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
9Deportivo Madryn2179527:2230
10Racing Cordoba2276922:2627
11San Miguel21511517:2126
12Defensores de Belgrano2159714:1824
13All Boys22411713:2023
14CA Mitre22410820:2722
15San Telmo2148917:2320
16Acassuso21551115:2320
17Chaco For Ever21471018:2619
18Central Norte21471013:2319
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy21125434:2341
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2196622:1533
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2285927:2229
9Gimnasia y Tiro2177720:2128
10San Martin S.J.2075821:2126
11Colegiales2175919:2026
12Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
13Almagro2074916:2225
14Quilmes2166918:1724
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Agropecuario2258917:2623
17Patronato21410713:1822
18Club Atletico Guemes21541219:3619
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)