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Stadium Background

Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Quilmes Logo

Quilmes

1 - 0
FT
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Osores M.
46'
Sub
Osores M. In: Aguilera E.
Out: Osores M.
48'
Mercado Carrizo D. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Quilmes in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quilmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Quilmes
20%
Draws
29%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Quilmes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin S.J. have won more games recently than Quilmes.
  • Quilmes are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes
1:0
Aug 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes
0:3
Jun 4, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quilmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bindella A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

San Martin S.J. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 50 / 100
San Martin S.J. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quilmes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Martin S.J. conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Quilmes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Martin S.J.'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS San Martin S.J.
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

San Martin S.J.

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)