Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Quilmes host San Telmo in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. San Telmo have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Quilmes have conceded 0.83 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Quilmes have won 1 to San Telmo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.94, favoring Quilmes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Quilmes average 0.86 goals a game right now, well clear of San Telmo's 0.83.
- Win probability leans Quilmes's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quilmes | San Telmo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: San Telmo conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Quilmes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
San Telmo lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Quilmes
(Home)San Telmo
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 28:22 | 46 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 37:22 | 41 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 29:19 | 39 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 19:13 | 38 |
| 5 | Godoy Cruz | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 36 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 21:21 | 34 |
| 8 | Los Andes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 20:11 | 33 |
| 9 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 20:20 | 32 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23:28 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:28 | 28 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 17:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 16:21 | 25 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18:24 | 23 |
| 15 | All Boys | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 13:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 21:28 | 22 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:23 | 22 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 17:28 | 21 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:27 | 41 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 21:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25:16 | 37 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26:22 | 37 |
| 6 | Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18:19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin T. | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:20 | 31 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23:23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20:22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin S.J. | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 28 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18:24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21:28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18:23 | 24 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20:42 | 19 |