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Quilmes vs San Telmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Quilmes Logo

Quilmes

3 - 0
FT
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Spetale A.
11' Event
Spetale A.
Assist: Vera U.
13'
Nunez C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Quilmes in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quilmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Quilmes
15%
Draws
48%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Quilmes average 0.93 goals a game right now, well clear of San Telmo's 0.79.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Quilmes have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 26%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes San Telmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs San Telmo
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Quilmes
0:3
Jun 19, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Quilmes
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quilmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Spetale A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vera U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Telmo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 38 / 100
San Telmo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Telmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Quilmes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Quilmes scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: San Telmo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS San Telmo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
10 Oct
Quilmes
0 : 1
Agropecuario
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)
11 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
San Telmo
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 33 18 8 7 37:28 62
2 Deportivo Moron 33 17 7 9 51:34 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 33 14 11 8 47:30 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 33 14 11 8 39:25 53
6 CA Estudiantes 33 13 9 11 31:27 48
7 Ciudad Bolivar 33 12 12 9 28:28 48
8 Almirante Brown 33 12 11 10 26:22 47
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 33 10 10 13 32:34 40
11 Defensores de Belgrano 33 8 13 12 25:32 37
12 San Telmo 33 9 10 14 28:37 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 33 7 15 11 29:39 36
15 Central Norte 33 6 16 11 21:30 34
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 Acassuso 33 8 8 17 25:35 32
18 San Miguel 33 6 14 13 26:39 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 33 16 11 6 40:27 59
3 Atletico Atlanta 33 18 4 11 39:30 58
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 33 15 10 8 50:42 55
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 33 13 10 10 34:30 49
7 Deportivo Maipu 33 13 9 11 40:32 48
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 33 12 10 11 35:33 46
10 San Martin T. 33 10 13 10 35:33 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Patronato 33 7 16 10 29:32 37
16 Nueva Chicago 33 9 9 15 24:32 36
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 33 5 8 20 23:56 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)