Sport Picks
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes 
Match Events
7'
7'
Colli K.
Assist: Fernandez N.
46'
46'
Sub
Almada A. In: Veliez A.
Out: Almada A.
58'
58'
Sub
Batista A. In: Luna R.
Out: Batista A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Quilmes and Tristan Suarez finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tristan Suarez come out ahead of Quilmes on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 30%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quilmes | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
May 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Quilmes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Tristan Suarez Compare
Top Goalscorer Colli K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Quilmes 34 / 100
Tristan Suarez 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Quilmes Tristan Suarez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Quilmes scored in 39% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Tristan Suarez conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Quilmes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Quilmes VS Tristan Suarez
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Quilmes
(Home) 26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1 Colegiales
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1 Colegiales
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
31 May
Quilmes
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
17 May
Quilmes
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 3
Tristan Suarez
(Away) 25 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
04 Jul
Temperley
1 : 0 Tristan Suarez
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
14 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Temperley
1 : 0 Tristan Suarez
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
14 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
31 May
Patronato
1 : 1 Tristan Suarez
17 May
Quilmes
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:19 | 38 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ciudad Bolivar | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 21:17 | 34 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 19:8 | 33 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 15:13 | 32 |
| 7 | Godoy Cruz | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 19:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Madryn | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 27 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 17:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 14:18 | 24 |
| 13 | All Boys | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13:20 | 23 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 20:27 | 22 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17:23 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15:23 | 20 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 18 | Central Norte | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13:23 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 26:18 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18:11 | 36 |
| 5 | Midland | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 22:15 | 33 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16:18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:21 | 28 |
| 10 | Almagro | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:23 | 28 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J. | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | 26 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18:19 | 26 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 17 | Patronato | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13:18 | 22 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:36 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
