Sport Picks
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes 
Match Events
7'
7'
Colli K.
Assist: Fernandez N.
46'
46'
Sub
Almada A. In: Veliez A.
Out: Almada A.
58'
58'
Sub
Batista A. In: Luna R.
Out: Batista A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Quilmes and Tristan Suarez finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tristan Suarez
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tristan Suarez come out ahead of Quilmes on wins alone.
- Tristan Suarez are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 19%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quilmes | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
May 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Quilmes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Tristan Suarez Compare
Top Goalscorer Colli K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Quilmes 24 / 100
Tristan Suarez 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Quilmes Tristan Suarez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Quilmes scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Tristan Suarez conceded in 38% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Quilmes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Quilmes VS Tristan Suarez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Quilmes
(Home) 20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
23 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0 San Telmo
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
05 Aug
Quilmes
2 : 0 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 3
Tristan Suarez
(Away) 21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0 San Martin T.
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
10 Aug
Gimnasia Jujuy
0 : 2 Tristan Suarez
03 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
