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Quimper Stade vs Caen II

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CFA - Group D 2008/2009
Quimper Stade Logo

Quimper Stade

1 - 1
FT
Caen II Logo

Caen II

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2008/2009 game between Quimper Stade and Caen II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Quimper Stade
20%
Draws
40%
Caen II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Quimper Stade have managed 0.73 goals a game lately — Caen II are scoring more at 1.19.
  • Model gives Quimper Stade a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Quimper Stade Clean Sheet 17%
Caen II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quimper Stade Caen II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.73 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Caen II vs Quimper Stade
1:1
Sep 19, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Caen II
2:0
Mar 14, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Caen II
1:1
Sep 21, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Caen II vs Quimper Stade
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quimper Stade 84 / 100
Caen II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quimper Stade Caen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quimper Stade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Caen II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Quimper Stade scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caen II
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Quimper Stade

(Home)
29 May
Orleans
0 : 2
Quimper Stade
22 May
Quimper Stade
0 : 1
Carquefou
15 May
Senart-Moissy
3 : 0
Quimper Stade
08 May
Quimper Stade
1 : 1
Romorantin
01 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Quimper Stade
Page 1 of 6

Caen II

(Away)
03 Jun
Vannes
5 : 0
Caen II
27 May
Caen II
0 : 0
Racing Club de France
13 May
Chambly
2 : 0
Caen II
06 May
Caen II
3 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
29 Apr
Saint-Pryve
3 : 2
Caen II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouen 34 18 11 5 56:27 96
2 Plabennec 34 16 12 6 41:31 94
3 Quevilly 34 15 12 7 53:31 91
4 Orleans 34 15 11 8 48:35 89
5 Villemomble 34 14 9 11 31:29 85
6 La Vitreenne 34 12 13 9 36:28 83
7 Rennes II 34 13 8 13 40:39 81
8 Racing Club de France 34 12 10 12 36:34 80
9 Viry-Chatillon 34 11 11 12 43:49 78
10 Caen II 34 11 11 12 41:43 77
11 PSG II 34 12 7 15 38:44 77
12 UJA Maccabi Paris 34 10 10 14 40:43 74
13 Le Havre II 34 8 15 11 39:43 73
14 Quimper Stade 34 9 12 13 28:41 73
15 Red Star 34 10 9 15 28:36 72
16 Pontivy 34 9 11 14 31:45 72
17 Guingamp II 34 9 10 15 35:41 71
18 Vitre 34 6 10 18 25:50 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)