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Quimper Stade vs Le Havre II

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CFA - Group D 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2008/2009 game between Quimper Stade and Le Havre II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quimper Stade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Quimper Stade
20%
Draws
40%
Le Havre II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Le Havre II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Quimper Stade a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Quimper Stade Clean Sheet 20%
Le Havre II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quimper Stade Le Havre II
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Le Havre II
0:2
Sep 12, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Le Havre II vs Quimper Stade
2:2
May 3, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Le Havre II vs Quimper Stade
2:2
Jan 3, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Le Havre II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quimper Stade 58 / 100
Le Havre II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quimper Stade Le Havre II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quimper Stade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre II has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Le Havre II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Quimper Stade found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Le Havre II
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quimper Stade

(Home)
29 May
Orleans
0 : 2
Quimper Stade
22 May
Quimper Stade
0 : 1
Carquefou
15 May
Senart-Moissy
3 : 0
Quimper Stade
08 May
Quimper Stade
1 : 1
Romorantin
01 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Quimper Stade
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Le Havre II

(Away)
24 Jul
Rouen
3 : 0
Le Havre II
25 May
Saint-Malo
2 : 2
Le Havre II
18 May
Le Havre II
0 : 1
Boulogne Billancourt
11 May
Le Havre II
1 : 0
PSG II
04 May
Lorient II
3 : 1
Le Havre II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouen 34 18 11 5 56:27 96
2 Plabennec 34 16 12 6 41:31 94
3 Quevilly 34 15 12 7 53:31 91
4 Orleans 34 15 11 8 48:35 89
5 Villemomble 34 14 9 11 31:29 85
6 La Vitreenne 34 12 13 9 36:28 83
7 Rennes II 34 13 8 13 40:39 81
8 Racing Club de France 34 12 10 12 36:34 80
9 Viry-Chatillon 34 11 11 12 43:49 78
10 Caen II 34 11 11 12 41:43 77
11 PSG II 34 12 7 15 38:44 77
12 UJA Maccabi Paris 34 10 10 14 40:43 74
13 Le Havre II 34 8 15 11 39:43 73
14 Quimper Stade 34 9 12 13 28:41 73
15 Red Star 34 10 9 15 28:36 72
16 Pontivy 34 9 11 14 31:45 72
17 Guingamp II 34 9 10 15 35:41 71
18 Vitre 34 6 10 18 25:50 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)