Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Bogota

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Mon, Sep 28, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quindio host Bogota in the Primera B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Bogota have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Quindio have conceded 0.81 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, Quindio have won 2 to Bogota's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.44) point toward Quindio. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Quindio
30%
Draws
54%
Bogota
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Quindio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Quindio Clean Sheet 20%
Bogota Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Bogota
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.06 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Quindio
0:2
Sep 26, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Bogota
6:1
Apr 19, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Quindio
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Bogota
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 Primera B
Bogota vs Quindio
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 36 / 100
Bogota 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Bogota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogota Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Quindio's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bogota conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Quindio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Bogota
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 7

Bogota

(Away)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1
Bogota
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2
Bogota
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 9 5 2 2 11:3 17
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
7 Boca Juniors de Cali 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
8 Real Santander 9 2 5 2 11:14 11
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)