Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Aristizabal J.
44'
Norena S.
46'
Sub
Mosquera F. In: Carabali R. A. F.
Out: Mosquera F.

AI Match Summary

Quindio in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quindio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Quindio
35%
Draws
13%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quindio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Envigado at 1.2 per game, Quindio at 1.
  • Quindio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Quindio Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Envigado
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
1:0
May 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Envigado
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabali R. A. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Envigado Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 77 / 100
Envigado 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quindio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quindio's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Envigado let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Quindio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Envigado
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2
Quindio
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 7 4 2 1 8:2 14
2 Real Cundinamarca 8 4 2 2 13:8 14
3 Patriotas 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Cartagena 8 4 1 3 16:10 13
5 Tigres Futbol Club 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
6 Atletico F.C. 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
7 Quindio 7 2 4 1 5:3 10
8 Real Santander 7 2 4 1 11:12 10
9 Leones 8 2 3 3 6:13 9
10 Orsomarso 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
11 Barranquilla 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
12 Inter Palmira 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
13 Bogota 7 2 1 4 4:8 7
14 Envigado 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
15 Boca Juniors de Cali 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
16 Union Magdalena 7 1 1 5 3:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)