Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Envigado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Aristizabal J.
44'
Norena S.
46'
Sub
Mosquera F. In: Carabali R. A. F.
Out: Mosquera F.

AI Match Summary

Quindio in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quindio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Quindio
30%
Draws
32%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quindio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quindio lately — more wins on the board than Envigado.
  • Quindio are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Quindio Clean Sheet 20%
Envigado Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Envigado
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
1:0
May 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Envigado
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabali R. A. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Envigado Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 42 / 100
Envigado 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Quindio stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Quindio scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Envigado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Envigado
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
04 Nov
Cartagena
2 : 3
Quindio
29 Oct
Quindio
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
24 Oct
Quindio
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
20 Oct
Atletico F.C.
0 : 1
Quindio
16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Envigado
2 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 2
Envigado
18 Oct
Envigado
1 : 0
Barranquilla
15 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Real Santander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 8 4 3 20:9 28
2 Real Cundinamarca 15 8 4 3 20:11 28
3 Tigres Futbol Club 15 6 6 3 16:9 24
4 Quindio 15 6 5 4 14:13 23
5 Cartagena 15 5 6 4 26:18 21
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 6 3 6 20:20 21
7 Envigado 15 4 8 3 17:13 20
8 Union Magdalena 15 5 5 5 15:15 20
9 Real Santander 15 4 8 3 17:20 20
10 Bogota 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
11 Atletico F.C. 15 5 3 7 16:21 18
12 Patriotas 15 5 3 7 17:23 18
13 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 11:14 17
14 Inter Palmira 15 4 4 7 11:17 16
15 Barranquilla 15 3 5 7 18:22 14
16 Leones 15 3 5 7 12:22 14
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)