Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Orsomarso

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Girado S.
46'
Sub
Gomez L. In: Salinas J.
Out: Gomez L.
51' Event
Lloreda J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Quindio
35%
Draws
32%
Orsomarso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Quindio have won more games recently than Orsomarso.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Quindio Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Orsomarso
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.11 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Orsomarso
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Quindio
2:3
May 13, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Orsomarso
0:0
Nov 18, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Orsomarso
0:2
Nov 4, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Quindio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloreda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carabali R. A. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Girado S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barreiro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 41 / 100
Orsomarso 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Orsomarso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quindio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quindio scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Orsomarso let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Quindio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Orsomarso
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2
Quindio
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
08 Aug
Quindio
1 : 1
Inter Palmira
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Orsomarso

(Away)
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1
Orsomarso
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Orsomarso
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)