Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Patriotas

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Reina J.
32'
Renteria L.
41' Event
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

Patriotas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Quindio
20%
Draws
65%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quindio lately — more wins on the board than Patriotas.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Quindio Clean Sheet 22%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Patriotas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Patriotas
1:2
Mar 12, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Quindio
0:0
Aug 18, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Quindio
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Patriotas
0:1
Aug 29, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Quindio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Orozco S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 37 / 100
Patriotas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Patriotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patriotas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quindio scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Patriotas conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Quindio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Patriotas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

Patriotas

(Away)
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
8 Real Santander 10 2 6 2 12:15 12
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)