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Stadium Background

Quinns vs UWA Nedlands

Australia Australia

WA State League Gumblossom Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Vaenas C.
50' Event
Vaenas C.
53' Event
Sardelic J.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Quinns and UWA Nedlands finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quinns.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Quinns
15%
Draws
34%
UWA Nedlands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quinns

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UWA Nedlands come out ahead of Quinns on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Quinns's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Quinns Clean Sheet 15%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quinns UWA Nedlands
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.4 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 WA State League
Quinns vs UWA Nedlands
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Quinns
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Quinns
4:1
May 7, 2022 WA State League
Quinns vs UWA Nedlands
2:0
Jul 24, 2021 WA State League
Quinns vs UWA Nedlands
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quinns Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaenas C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Sardelic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quinns 57 / 100
UWA Nedlands 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quinns UWA Nedlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quinns Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Quinns remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Quinns scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

UWA Nedlands has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quinns VS UWA Nedlands
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quinns

(Home)
22 Aug
Quinns
3 : 1
Kingsley Westside
15 Aug
Quinns
2 : 0
Gwelup Croatia SC
08 Aug
Mandurah City
0 : 1
Quinns
01 Aug
Quinns
3 : 2
Inglewood Utd
25 Jul
Quinns
3 : 1
Cockburn City
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UWA Nedlands

(Away)
12 Sept
UWA Nedlands
0 : 0
Mandurah City
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
0 : 3
UWA Nedlands
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)